Market Intelligence: HAWKISH: Fed may hike/hold (Bearish for Bonds)
Inflation Momentum +0.04%
Sahm Indicator 4.40
Latest Unemployment 4.4%
Mar 25 4.2 Apr 25 4.2 May 25 4.3 Jun 25 4.1 Jul 25 4.3 Aug 25 4.3 Sep 25 4.4 Oct 25 0 Nov 25 4.5 Dec 25 4.4 Jan 26 4.3 Feb 26 4.4

Trader Insight Log

Volatility Check: The spread between Inflation and Unemployment is currently 1.97 points. Historically, a narrowing spread is a sign of economic tightening.

⚠️ ALERT: The Sahm Rule has been triggered. Historically, this signal has a 100% accuracy rate for identifying the start of a recession. Pivot to defensive sectors.